🐯 Tiger Portfolio

🐯 Tiger cub approach. Concentrated, high-conviction, patient. 6-12 positions max.

🔧 Hardware moats only. Physical assets that take years to replicate.

🐋 Don't be whale exit liquidity. Buy into volume nodes, not thin air.

💵 Cash is a position. No rush to deploy. Cash IS the hedge until 70%+ invested.

Type	Size	When
Core	15-25%	Highest conviction + best chart setup
Starter	3-5%	Strong thesis, chart needs confirmation
Watch	$0	Until chart confirms entry
Max single	25%	Hard cap, no exceptions

                Scale in, don't lump. Never deploy full position size at once. 50% initial, add on confirmation. Never deploy >50% of remaining cash in a single day.
            

Volume profile check: Only buy into thick VP nodes. Thin air below = you're someone else's exit.
RSI filter: Prefer entries with RSI < 50. Never chase RSI > 70 unless breakout on massive volume.
No buying at channel tops. Upper trendline resistance = wait for pullback.
Breakout confirmation: Don't front-run resistance. Wait for break + retest + hold on volume.
Post-earnings washout = opportunity. Beat + sell = sentiment reset, not fundamental problem. Best entries 2-5 days after overreaction.
Divergence = caution. Bearish RSI divergence (higher price, lower RSI) → reduce size.

Thesis invalidation = exit. If the reason you bought breaks, sell. No hoping.
Stop-loss by thesis, not price. Each position has documented invalidation triggers.
Trim on extension: Position up 50%+ with RSI > 70 → trim 20-30% to lock gains.
Let winners run. Don't sell just because it's green. Winners get bigger.
Cut losers fast: Down 15%+ with weakening thesis → cut. Don't average down into broken thesis.

No hedges while cash > 30%. Cash IS the hedge. Don't pay theta on SPY puts while sitting on cash.
Deploy at 70%+ invested. Index puts when most capital is deployed.
Puts only, no short selling. Buy puts on AI disruption losers.

Only on oversold names. LEAPS on extended charts = paying theta to lose.
Delta > 0.40. No far OTM lottery tickets.
Minimum 18 months to expiry. Time is the asset.
Max 10% of portfolio in LEAPS. Leverage is a tool, not a strategy.

Analysis without action. If a name passes all 3 gates, trade it. Don't generate another scorecard.
Chart says wait, fundamentals say buy. Chart wins for timing. Always.
Validating every trade. Just give data. If the setup is bad, say so.
Embellishing numbers. Print the number, report the number. No rounding "creatively."
Skewing bullish. Weight bearish signals at least as heavily as bullish ones. Distribution > hope.
Analyst consensus as a ceiling. Consensus is a contrary indicator when price leads. It's data, not a gate.
Fortune cookie wisdom. Data and levels, not platitudes.

2026-02-17

Analysis theater kills portfolios. The 11 AM cron analyzed tickers for 3 days without ever creating a proforma trade. Process must execute, not just evaluate.

2026-02-16

Earnings gap reversals are distribution. Beat + ATH + reversal on heavy volume = smart money selling to dumb money. Wait for reclaim before entry.

2026-02-16

MA slope ≥ MA level. 50% above a steeply rising 200-day is different from 50% above a flat one. Rising slope reduces effective extension risk.

2026-02-16

Polarity: actively check S/R flips. Don't just list levels — check which have flipped roles. Former resistance acting as support = bullish confirmation.

2026-02-16

News follows price. Surprises happen in the direction of the trend. The real signal is news that fights the trend — a stock that refuses to drop on bad news after a long drawdown = seller exhaustion.

2026-02-13

Don't do math in prose. Let the database handle arithmetic.

2026-02-13

VP is the single best tool for avoiding traps. If volume profile is thin below, you ARE the liquidity.

2026-02-13

LEAPS on extended charts is worse than stock. Paying premium for time decay while waiting for a pullback you could just buy.

📋 Trading Rules

🧠 Philosophy

📐 Position Sizing

🟢 Entry Rules

🔴 Exit Rules

🛡️ Hedges

📈 LEAPS

🚫 Anti-Patterns

📝 Lessons Learned