📝 The Plan

Strategy, structure, and how we operate. Updated weekly as needed.

🎯 Strategy

$100K concentrated portfolio of 6-12 AI infrastructure companies with physical moats — hardware, manufacturing, cooling, power. Not software, not models. The picks and shovels.

Core thesis: AI infrastructure buildout is a multi-year capex cycle. Physical assets take years to replicate. We buy the layer that every AI company depends on, regardless of which model or application wins.

Hold horizon: 3-5 years  |  Benchmark: SMH  |  Inception: Feb 14, 2026

Vamsi mirrors every trade with real money. Process reliability matters more than sophistication.

⚙️ How We Operate

WorkflowWhenWhat Happens
Macro Regime Mon-Fri 10:30 AM Update macro indicators (VIX, yields, DXY, breadth). Sets context for trade decisions. Posts to group.
Daily Proforma Mon-Fri 11 AM Score all watchlist names against 3-gate system. Create proforma trades for names that pass. Post scorecards to group.
Trade Lock Mon-Fri 2 PM Lock proformas at market prices. Refresh positions. Snapshot. Regime scoring. Post EOD summary.
Weekly Review Sunday 6 PM Full thesis review. News + chart check on every name. Benchmark comparison. Pipeline evaluation.
Research Ad hoc Deep DD on new names. Competitive landscape. Earnings analysis. Triggered by group discussion.

🔍 Trade Selection — The 3 Gates

Every trade must pass all three. No exceptions. Full details in Rules.

GateWhat It ChecksKey Criteria
1. Fundamental Is the thesis active? 6-pillar DD complete: growth, moat, management, concentration risk, competitive position, bull/bear/invalidation
2. Technical Does the chart support entry now? Shannon stage analysis, MA alignment + slope, extension risk (quantified), volume character, S/R polarity, VP memory, R/R ≥ 3:1. Adjusted by per-ticker regime.
3. Portfolio Fit Does this trade fit the book? Position sizing (starter 3-5%, core 15-25%), cash management (≤50% deployed/day), correlation, heat check (≤15%)
Regime detection adjusts Gate 2 weights per ticker. Trending → trust MAs. Chop → trust RSI/S&R. Mixed → require 4:1 R/R. The system adapts to market character, not the other way around.

👥 The Group

MemberRole
VamsiPortfolio owner. Final call on trades. Mirrors with real money.
KedarTechnical analysis. Chart validation, VP levels, break-and-retest patterns.
PoornaMulti-timeframe analysis. Brian Shannon framework. Bearish signal rigor.
AnirudhDeep conviction. Moat analysis, founder quality, long-term thesis.
UndiProcess design. Workflow efficiency, systematic improvement.
NaradaExecution engine. Runs workflows, generates analysis, maintains portal. Proposes trades — doesn't decide them.

🛠️ Tools

ToolPurpose
DashboardLive portfolio — positions, P&L, allocation, benchmark comparison
Thesis TrackerPer-ticker DD, bull/bear cases, evolution log
PipelineExpansion candidates across infrastructure layers
Chart GeneratorCandlestick + Volume Profile + RSI + MACD + trendlines
Portfolio CLIProforma → lock → snapshot → dashboard generation
Regime EnginePer-ticker + macro regime detection, adjusts trade criteria dynamically

📈 How the Process Grows

Process earns its complexity. New workflows get added when the portfolio demands them, not before.

Early (1-3 positions, mostly cash)

Daily proforma + lock cycle. Weekly thesis review. Manual research as needed. Cash is the hedge.

Building (4+ positions, $50K+ invested)

Earnings calendar integration. Thesis invalidation monitoring. Sector correlation checks. Friday close snapshot.

Concentrated (70%+ deployed)

Hedge workflow activation (index puts). Quarterly DD refresh cycle. Risk-adjusted rebalancing.

Leverage (if LEAPS introduced)

Greeks tracking. Expiry management. Delta-adjusted sizing.

⚖️ Principles

1. Don't be whale exit liquidity. Buy into volume nodes, not thin air. VP is the single best tool for avoiding traps.
2. Two signals confirming > one signal deciding. Daily scan + weekly review both pointing to the same trade = real conviction.
3. News follows price. Surprises happen in the direction of the trend. The real signal is news that fights the trend.
4. Earn the next workflow. If nobody consumes the output, it gets cut. No orphan processes.
5. Simplicity = trust. Real money follows every trade. Fewer workflows = fewer conflicting signals = more confidence.